Storm Prediction Center - Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Data From the SPC

Day 1 Graphical Fire Outlook

FWO

Day 1 Fire Outlook Discussion

ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 141616

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1116 AM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

   Valid 141700Z - 151200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes were made to the current Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook.
   Please see previous forecast discussion for more details.

   ..Williams.. 10/14/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level low over the Four Corners region will send an eastward
   progressing cold front into western NM today. High elevation snow is
   likely in southwestern to central CO with precipitation chances
   spreading into the central Plains as the trough lifts over northern
   CO. Farther west, an offshore gradient will begin to develop this
   afternoon in southern CA, increasing east/northeast sustained winds
   to 15-20 mph amid 15-20% RH in terrain-favored gaps of western
   L.A./Ventura/Santa Barbara counties; thus, locally elevated fire
   weather conditions are possible where pockets of dry fuels exist.
   The pressure gradient will strengthen late in the forecast period
   (early Thursday morning) leading into an offshore wind event on Day
   2/Thursday.

   Meanwhile, high pressure will transition over the Southeast,
   transporting rich Gulf moisture into the southern Plains and Ozarks.
   As a result, anomalously high PWATs ranging from 1.8-2.2" and
   afternoon large scale ascent will promote areas of heavy rainfall
   along a sagging cold front. This system is expected to provide
   relief to drying fuels across the region, especially to areas
   categorized by extreme to exceptional drought.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)

Issued by the Weather Prediction Center